Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.435915 4.012197 4.671126 5.483728 6.463552 7.612691 9.070931
2025-02-02 2.648501 3.401874 4.364224 5.698971 7.526393 9.976075 13.568763
2025-02-09 2.262969 3.094006 4.236626 5.953631 8.523263 12.316509 18.513988
2025-02-16 1.954831 2.805340 4.044089 6.028508 9.221622 14.329151 23.480871
2025-02-23 1.734040 2.592443 3.905587 6.128924 9.942175 16.496926 29.280475
2025-03-02 1.529290 2.366037 3.700131 6.068376 10.361248 18.224121 34.775139
2025-03-09 1.396923 2.231513 3.614926 6.183758 11.095329 20.668287 42.414876
2025-03-16 1.258868 2.066731 3.451356 6.124997 11.482606 22.520726 49.396203
2025-03-23 1.148434 1.933684 3.321999 6.102969 11.929418 24.591359 57.585634
2025-03-30 1.041018 1.792161 3.157066 5.981962 12.142387 26.196976 65.197314
2025-04-06 0.975985 1.719274 3.108967 6.085526 12.858377 29.137827 77.522411
2025-04-13 0.891581 1.600451 2.957250 5.947236 12.997060 30.708407 86.556335
2025-04-20 0.860114 1.589058 3.035475 6.366743 14.671921 37.057134 114.750385
2025-04-27 0.810870 1.538862 3.033076 6.621596 16.061323 43.316389 147.462497
2025-05-04 0.771136 1.501553 3.050337 6.924542 17.669152 50.905680 191.097717
2025-05-11 0.719555 1.432247 2.986320 7.013665 18.714178 57.204951 234.912259
2025-05-18 0.675861 1.373994 2.938014 7.133237 19.892577 64.532062 290.603712
2025-05-25 0.625060 1.293673 2.826409 7.061133 20.462413 69.956916 342.363040
2025-06-01 0.591768 1.248681 2.792637 7.198554 21.766828 78.935981 425.043105
2025-06-08 0.550733 1.180953 2.693391 7.128560 22.351238 85.297255 499.803880
2025-06-15 0.516017 1.124150 2.613902 7.102325 23.094775 92.830159 593.872647
2025-06-22 0.479245 1.058410 2.502733 6.958258 23.364897 98.373659 681.796330
2025-06-29 0.457489 1.026934 2.477596 7.081554 24.725644 110.222029 844.904965